Hi Julie.
Your retirement picture is ready.

This is Julie’s sample plan: every account, tax bill, and withdrawal, year by year through age 95.

Here’s the retirement you’re planning for:

Retire at

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Early years spending

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per year

Social Security at

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Plan through age

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These are Julie’s sample numbers. You’ll be able to change them in the full plan.

Will Julie have enough?

…

Running the simulations…

Running 300 market simulations against these numbers…

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Remaining at plan end
Median scenario
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Lifetime retirement taxes
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First age the plan falls short
In weaker markets
See what happens year by year ↓

Now let's look at every year.

See where Julie’s retirement income comes from, what she spends and pays in taxes, and how much remains over time. Change a number on the left to watch the plan update.

demo Help
Model assumptions
Values used by the simulation engine — 2026 IRS/CMS figures unless noted.
Social Security
COLA rate2.5%/yr (default; user-adjustable)
TaxationUp to 85% taxable depending on combined income
Start age range62–70; delaying to 70 maximizes benefit past ~age 80
Medicare
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Tax
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Federal brackets (MFJ)
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RMDs
Start age— (SECURE 2.0 Act)
Table usedIRS Uniform Lifetime Table III
Accounts subjectTraditional IRA / 401(k) / 403(b) — pre-tax only
Roth accountsRoth IRA & Roth 401(k) — no lifetime RMDs (SECURE 2.0, 2024)
Excess RMDsReinvested into taxable brokerage
Returns & Sequences
Historical sourceDamodaran/NYU Stern — S&P 500 1934–2024
Historical CAGR11.07% incl. dividends (1934–2024); 7.3% after inflation, run at your inflation rate
Dividend yield1.5% of the brokerage's stock share, reinvested and taxed each year
Conservative sequence~4% avg CAGR
Moderate sequence~7% avg CAGR
Optimistic sequence~10% avg CAGR
MC std devVolatility — scales with the expected return
Spending
Within-phase growth2%/yr (default; applies within each Smile phase)
Phase transitionsSpending resets to phase base at each transition
Not modeled
Pre-tax contribution deductionsNo current-year tax reduction from 401k/IRA contributions
Estate taxNot modeled
AMTNot modeled
SS earnings testNo benefit reduction for working before FRA
CPI-linked spendingSpending growth set by user, not auto-tied to CPI
Sources: IRS Pub 590-B (RMDs), CMS 2026 Medicare rates, IRS 2026 tax brackets, Damodaran/NYU Stern historical returns. Pasture is a planning tool — consult a financial advisor for personalized advice.
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Your plan succeeds in — of simulations. Choose an adjustment to model:
We'll spread the additional savings across your accounts — filling tax-advantaged (tax-deferred & Roth) up to each annual limit first, then any taxable brokerage.
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Sample plan

Working out your plan…

Running 300 market simulations against your numbers…

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Where your retirement income comes from

 

Lifetime retirement income—
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Retirement smile

Drag the ● dots to raise or lower spending in a phase · drag the ┊ dashed lines to move when each phase begins

The curve is illustrative — your plan spends each phase at its dot's flat level.

Add conversion range
Age range

Same start and end age = single year conversion.

Amount

Same amount converted each year in the range.

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Pattern

2008 GFC: −37%, +26%, +15%

Timing

Up to three events, at least three years apart.

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